Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.024751 0.026617 0.028563 0.030747 0.033133 0.035662 0.038551
2025-01-19 0.021961 0.024657 0.027618 0.031120 0.035164 0.039701 0.045199
2025-01-26 0.019864 0.023030 0.026641 0.031087 0.036444 0.042728 0.050712
2025-02-02 0.018525 0.022046 0.026190 0.031464 0.038050 0.046072 0.056687
2025-02-09 0.017141 0.020842 0.025311 0.031159 0.038686 0.048153 0.061127
2025-02-16 0.016067 0.019907 0.024653 0.031017 0.039433 0.050329 0.065750
2025-02-23 0.015104 0.019029 0.023979 0.030764 0.039959 0.052183 0.069998
2025-03-02 0.014359 0.018371 0.023526 0.030741 0.040743 0.054377 0.074817
2025-03-09 0.013545 0.017567 0.022821 0.030310 0.040909 0.055685 0.078413
2025-03-16 0.012761 0.016754 0.022051 0.029727 0.040798 0.056556 0.081380
2025-03-23 0.012158 0.016153 0.021529 0.029448 0.041081 0.057982 0.085241
2025-03-30 0.011611 0.015598 0.021037 0.029172 0.041333 0.059349 0.089074
2025-04-06 0.010980 0.014901 0.020318 0.028534 0.041017 0.059852 0.091596
2025-04-13 0.010680 0.014658 0.020231 0.028818 0.042103 0.062564 0.097895
2025-04-20 0.010306 0.014290 0.019941 0.028775 0.042671 0.064482 0.103000
2025-04-27 0.010068 0.014106 0.019909 0.029115 0.043849 0.067435 0.110081
2025-05-04 0.009677 0.013679 0.019495 0.028837 0.044012 0.068721 0.114324
2025-05-11 0.009352 0.013335 0.019187 0.028707 0.044400 0.070393 0.119368
2025-05-18 0.009022 0.012970 0.018830 0.028476 0.044602 0.071747 0.123915
2025-05-25 0.008763 0.012703 0.018612 0.028455 0.045145 0.073715 0.129750
2025-06-01 0.008431 0.012310 0.018180 0.028062 0.045030 0.074503 0.133371
2025-06-08 0.008086 0.011883 0.017679 0.027530 0.044641 0.074773 0.135979
2025-06-15 0.007822 0.011575 0.017353 0.027275 0.044722 0.075890 0.140357